"If you are neutral in situations of injustice, you have chosen the side of the oppressor. If an elephant has its foot on the tail of a mouse and you say that you are neutral, the mouse will not appreciate your neutrality." --Bishop Desmond Tutu

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

"White Shift" in three southern states

Fascinating article about the shift in white voters away from McCain and the failing GOP to Obama in three key southern states, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida.
An amazing political and social event is under way in three critical swing states. Virginia and North Carolina show a major shift by white voters benefiting Sen. Barack Obama. Florida whites are also moving but at a somewhat slower rate. The total number of white votes shifting from McCain to Obama is around 900,000 currently. That number will vary depending on turnout and campaign events. The exact size of the vote shift is important but it's not nearly as significant as the "white shift" phenomena.
Is this the end of Nixon's Southern Strategy? A strategy that has worked for the Republicans for over 40 years? Could we really be getting to a post-racial electoral climate?

Aside from that, this shift of white voters makes accusations of voter fraud that much harder to support!

The white shift voters are another major factor that will help reduce the potential for election fraud. As whites, they're not the target of race based voter suppression. Having paid enough attention to the campaign to consciously shift their allegiance, they seem likely to vote in large numbers. The white shift voting population moving to Obama represent nearly 1.0 million votes for the three states discussed (extrapolating from the Public Policy Polling numbers).

The only fraud strategy left to counter this is a massive manipulation of electronic voting machines and tabulators (which are often one and the same). The risk of committing electronic fraud for these states is extraordinary. Even a cursory examination of the reported totals would produce a variety of contradictions that would unravel the crime.

It's an amazing election in so many ways, but this, more than anything, may represent the final nail in the coffin of the GOP.
We're now facing a shift of major proportions in consistently Republican states in the South coming from white conservative males fed up with the poor economy and the direction of the nation along with "net new" primary voters in the Democratic Party primaries.

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